TITLE: Estimated Risk-Minimizing Hedge for a Partially
-Observed
Micromovement Model of Asset Prices
.
We consider tick by tick hedging strategies for derivatives
in a micromovement model of asset prices. The model assumes a latent
intrinsic value process, which can be observed by agents only at trading
times with market microstructure noises. The intrinsic value process,
assumed to be a diffusion, is the usual price process in option pricing.
Furthermore, this model incorporates the two stylized features of the
ultra-high frequency data: random trading times and market
microstructure noises. Because of these, the market becomes incomplete.
We develop a new evolution representation of such a model in a form of
marked point process. Then we derive the projected local risk
minimization strategy with the observed prices alone. We also show that
the computation of the local risk minimization strategy in our context
leads to a smoothing and filtering problem in the nonlinear filtering
literature.